An Apology and A Question

Warwick, R.I.--

Let's start with an apology to the Justice Department.  I predicted last April 3 on this blog that the government would dismiss the cases against ex-State Reps. Vic Kohring (R.-Wasilla) and Pete Kott (R.-Eagle River).   Although I also predicted in a column for the Alaska Bar Rag published last June that the Justice Department would not re-try the former lawmakers--leaving open the possibility that the cases would be resolved with plea agreements--that April 3 prediction on the blog is obviously wrong as to Kott, who last week announced that he would drop his not guilty plea to a bribery charge.

And now let's have a poll.  


How do you think the Vic Kohring case will be resolved?


Dismissal ___

Agreement resulting in a plea of guilty to a misdemeanor ___ 

Agreement resulting in a plea of guilty to a felony producing  no additional prison time ___

Agreement resulting in a plea of guilty to a felony producing additional prison time ___

Trial ___

Get your votes in before 5 p.m. Alaska time Monday, October 17, 2011 (that would be tomorrow as I write this).    I will write my own analysis after that.    Here's a preview:  

(1)  The outcome in which Vic Kohring pleads guilty to a felony producing additional prison time seems by far the least likely.

(2) Vic Kohring's unusual--some would say "delusional"--view of the world might make it more difficult for his attorneys to talk him into a resolution that they believe to good for their client.